Six Measures of Post-Deal Health

Each ratio is computed annually for every firm from FactSet Fundamentals. The change between the two-year pre-deal window (T-2, T-1) and the three-year post-deal window (T+1, T+2, T+3) is the Δ (delta) value used in every regression on the site.

Primary outcome
Return on Assets (ROA)
Net Income / Total Assets
How much profit per dollar of stuff the firm owns. The headline number of the study - the +2.14 pp HIGH minus LOW gap is ΔROA.
Profitability
Return on Equity (ROE)
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity
How well the firm uses shareholder capital. HIGH-tier firms gained +1.78%; LOW-tier firms lost 0.45%.
Operating margin
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA / Revenue
Operating profit per dollar of sales. HIGH gained +1.96%; LOW was flat at -0.04%.
Capital efficiency
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
NOPAT / Invested Capital
Profitability per dollar of debt and equity combined. Used as a robustness cross-check on ROA.
Operational
Asset Turnover
Revenue / Total Assets
How efficiently assets convert to sales. HIGH-tier firms maintained higher turnover post-deal, suggesting better integration.
Balance sheet
Leverage
Total Debt / Total Assets
How indebted the firm becomes after a deal. LOW-tier firms saw the largest leverage deterioration.

Table 4: How Each Tier Changed

Average change in each ratio, by HIP ESG tier, across the 60-firm sample. Positive numbers mean improvement post-deal.

TierNAvg HIPΔROAΔROEΔEBITDA Mgn
HIGH200.536+1.33%+1.78%+1.96%
MEDIUM200.373+0.33%+0.31%+0.44%
LOW200.163-0.81%-0.45%-0.04%
HIGH minus LOW Spread-0.373+2.14%+2.23%+2.00%

t-statistic on ΔROA gap: 8.15 (p < 0.001p-value below 0.1% - probability of this happening by chance is less than 1 in 1,000. Extremely strong evidence the effect is real.). HIGH minus MEDIUM gap is also significant at t = 4.01 (p < 0.001). All three profitability deltas show the same monotone HIGH > MEDIUM > LOW ranking, reinforcing the ESG-performance link.

Plain English
High-ESG firms gained operating profitability after their deals. Low-ESG firms lost it.

After their acquisitions, HIGH-tier acquirers improved every profitability ratio. LOW-tier acquirers went the opposite direction: ROA dropped 0.81 percentage points and ROE dropped 0.45. The HIGH minus LOW gap of +2.14 pp on ROA is the headline statistic of the entire study.

The mechanism is consistent with what the literature predicts. High-ESG firms enter deals with stronger stakeholder foundations - better governance, more disciplined capital allocation, lower employee attrition, more durable customer trust. Those features compound through the integration period. Low-ESG firms enter deals carrying the opposite baggage and their integration cost overruns show up directly in the ratios.

Each ratio is computed annually per firm from 2014 (the earliest pre-deal year) through 2026 (the latest post-deal year). The change between the two windows enters the M1–M4 regressions on the Regression Output page, where the HIP-tier dummy variables capture the differential improvement.

Because every firm contributes multiple observations (one per year of the panel), all standard errors in the regressions are HC3HC3 robust standard errors: a conservative way to measure uncertainty that does not overstate significance.-robust and clustered at the firm level - meaning correlated observations within the same firm don't inflate statistical significance.

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